TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,590,312
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,439,516,703
404,175
Markets across
30,277
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,685
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on June 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Resolution uses CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index, with the final price determined by averaging 60 seconds of RTI data.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is below $465 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $465-469.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $470-474.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $475-479.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $480-484.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $485-489.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $490-494.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $495-499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $500-504.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $505-509.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $510-514.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $515-519.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $520-524.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $525-529.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $530-534.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $535-539.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $540-544.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $545-549.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $550-554.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $555-559.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $560-564.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $565-569.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $570-574.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $575-579.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $580-584.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $585-589.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $590-594.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $595-599.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $600-604.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $605-609.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $610-614.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $615-619.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $620-624.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $625-629.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $630-634.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $635-639.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $640-644.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $645-649.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is between $650-654.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $654.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to risk on specific price outcomes, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. On Kalshi, the implied probabilities baked into this market represent collective expectations about where BNB will settle, weighted by trader conviction and capital allocation. Spot price reflects only the present moment, whereas prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, upcoming catalysts, and macroeconomic uncertainty. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish moves relative to today's level, offering a gauge of tail-risk positioning.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an automated market maker and order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out a fixed amount if that range is correct at settlement, and zero otherwise. The current odds you see reflect the cumulative bets placed; as more capital flows into a particular range, its implied probability rises and the payout per share falls. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to new information and trader conviction.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by where BNB trades at that exact moment. The winning price range is verified against credible public sources once the event is observable. All shares corresponding to the correct range pay out in full, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Traders should monitor the approach to settlement and be aware that any last-minute volatility or exchange outages could affect the final verified price used for resolution.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, changes in Binance's business outlook, and macroeconomic events like interest-rate decisions or inflation data. Technical developments on the BNB Chain, token burns, or staking changes could also drive sentiment. Geopolitical tensions, central-bank policy shifts, and crypto market sentiment swings tend to move the entire sector. Traders should watch for exchange listings, delisting threats, and any legal or compliance developments tied to Binance, as these often trigger sharp repricing in this market.