TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 26, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets divide BNB's possible price range into specific bands on June 26, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Traders select which price range they believe BNB will fall within at that exact moment. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' official BNB Real-Time Index.
Resolution is based on the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 26, 2026. The price range is divided into 50 consecutive bands, each spanning $5, from below $450 up to $690 and above. A market resolves to Yes if the 60-second average falls within the specified range for that market. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase. At the resolution time, 60 individual RTI price points are collected over one minute, and their simple average determines which price band applies.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price BNB for immediate exchange, this market prices a specific future moment, allowing traders to embed longer-term conviction or hedge near-term volatility. Comparing the implied probability of each price range to your own view of BNB's trajectory can reveal whether the market is pricing in more or less upside than you expect. Many traders use this comparison to identify mispriced outcomes and find edge relative to consensus sentiment.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out a fixed amount if that range resolves true, and zero otherwise. The bid-ask spread and order depth reflect how confident traders are in each outcome. As new information emerges or positions shift, the price of each range adjusts in real time, with the sum of all range probabilities equaling 100 percent. This continuous repricing ensures the market stays responsive to changing expectations about BNB's price at the settlement moment.
This market resolves around Jun 26, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once BNB's price at that exact moment is verifiable from credible public sources. The winning price range is determined by where BNB trades on major exchanges at the specified time. Traders who held shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution process is straightforward and objective, relying on transparent, widely-reported price data rather than subjective interpretation.
Major catalysts that could shift odds include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, significant moves in Bitcoin or Ethereum, changes in Binance's business outlook, macroeconomic shifts, and technical breakouts or breakdowns on the BNB chart. Network upgrades, exchange listing news, or shifts in institutional adoption could also reprrice the market. Geopolitical events and changes in central bank policy often ripple through crypto markets. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and sentiment indicators to anticipate which price range is most likely, adjusting their positions as new information arrives before the market closes.