TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 25, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on June 25, 2026 at 5pm EDT into consecutive price ranges. Participants select which range they believe BNB will fall within, with bands spanning from below $480 to above $670.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 25, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range; the market resolves Yes for the outcome whose range contains the final averaged price. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source, not general market data from other platforms. The official value is calculated by averaging exactly 60 RTI price points collected in the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe BNB will be worth, whereas spot prices show what the asset costs right now on exchanges. This market aggregates forward-looking conviction: if most traders expect BNB to trade in a higher range by June 2026, odds will shift upward even if today's spot price is lower. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in bullish momentum, consolidation, or downside risk relative to current levels.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each BNB price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range has its own contract, and the price of each reflects the probability traders assign to that outcome occurring. As new information emerges or sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spreads tighten or widen, and the implied odds update in real time based on supply and demand for each price bracket.
This market resolves around Jun 25, 2026, when BNB's price at that specific moment is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range BNB actually trades within at the designated timestamp. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the market settles and winning positions are paid out according to the range that matched the real-world result.
Major catalysts include Binance regulatory developments, shifts in crypto market sentiment, Bitcoin price movements, and macroeconomic policy changes. Technical milestones for BNB or the broader blockchain ecosystem, exchange listings or delistings, and changes to staking or tokenomics can also drive significant repricing. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, trading volume trends, and institutional adoption signals to adjust their positions ahead of the June 2026 settlement date.