TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 23, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks BNB's price within specific ranges on June 23, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. Participants predict which price band BNB will fall into, with prices measured using CF Benchmarks' official real-time index.
Resolution is determined by calculating the simple average of 60 consecutive CF Benchmarks' BNB Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the final minute before 5 PM EDT on June 23, 2026. The market uses CF Benchmarks' RTI as the authoritative price source rather than alternative data providers. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls within the defined bands, which progress from below $495 up to $685 and above in $5 increments.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. On this market, the odds embedded in share prices represent an aggregated bet on BNB's range at settlement. Spot price reflects only the present moment, while prediction odds factor in expected moves, volatility, and event risk over the entire time horizon. Comparing the two reveals whether the market is pricing in upside, downside, or consolidation relative to today's level—a useful reality check against your own conviction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book trading, where buyers and sellers set the odds by placing limit orders on each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Shares in each range trade independently, and the price of a share reflects the implied probability of that outcome. As new information arrives or trader sentiment shifts, bids and asks adjust, moving the odds up or down. This mechanism ensures prices stay responsive to real-time conviction and new data.
This market resolves around Jun 23, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by where BNB is trading at that exact moment. The winning range is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. All shares in the correct range pay out in full, while all other outcomes expire worthless. Traders should monitor BNB's price action closely as the settlement time approaches, since even small moves can shift which range wins.
Major BNB price drivers include Binance platform developments, regulatory announcements affecting crypto exchanges, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, and macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on the daily chart can trigger rapid repricing of the ranges. Staking or tokenomics changes, exchange listing news, or shifts in institutional adoption could also sway odds. Traders should watch crypto market breadth, Fed policy signals, and any Binance-specific news that might influence BNB's trajectory into the settlement window.