TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 22, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on June 22, 2026 at 5pm EDT into distinct price ranges. Traders select which range they believe the price will fall within, with each range representing a $5 interval.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 22, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and the market resolves to Yes for the outcome matching where the 60-second average falls. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI. At the final minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to determine which range applies for resolution.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively believe BNB's price will be, whereas spot prices reflect only the current market rate. This market aggregates forward-looking sentiment across a range of price outcomes, offering insight into tail risks and consensus expectations that may differ from today's valuation. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can highlight where the prediction market sees asymmetric opportunity or disagreement with conventional views on BNB's medium-term trajectory.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range has its own contract, and the bid-ask spread reflects the confidence and liquidity behind that outcome. As new information emerges—regulatory news, network developments, or broader crypto market moves—traders adjust their positions, shifting the implied probability of each band. The price of each contract directly encodes the market's belief in that outcome's likelihood.
This market resolves around Jun 22, 2026, at which point the actual BNB price will be verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range BNB falls into at that specific moment. Once the event is confirmed and verifiable from established market data, the corresponding range contract is marked correct, and traders holding winning shares receive their payout. All other range contracts expire worthless.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, Binance operational updates, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements. Network upgrades, exchange policy changes, or enforcement actions could significantly reprrice expectations. Geopolitical developments and central bank decisions also influence crypto valuations. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, derivatives positioning, and institutional adoption signals to anticipate where BNB may settle, adjusting their positions as new information surfaces.