TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 21, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on June 21, 2026 at 5pm EDT into consecutive price ranges, allowing participants to predict which specific band BNB will fall within. Each outcome represents a $5 price interval, from below $490 up to $680 and above. The final price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNB Real-Time Index data.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 21, 2026. The price range is divided into consecutive $5 intervals; exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls (e.g., below $490 for the first outcome, between $490-494.99 for the second, between $495-499.99 for the third, etc.). CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source rather than general market data from exchanges. The official final value is calculated as the average of all 60 RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reveal what traders collectively believe about BNB's price at a future date, whereas spot prices reflect current market value. This market aggregates forward-looking sentiment from participants willing to stake capital on their conviction, often incorporating analysis that spot markets may not yet price in. When odds shift significantly from historical ranges, it can signal emerging catalysts or shifting risk sentiment. Comparing the implied price distribution here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics provides a fuller picture of where the market expects BNB to settle.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each range contract trades independently, and the collective bid-ask spreads reflect the market's confidence in that outcome. As new information arrives—regulatory news, technical developments, or macroeconomic shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving prices to reflect updated probabilities. The continuous pricing mechanism ensures that odds remain responsive to real-time sentiment and data.
This market resolves around Jun 21, 2026, when BNB's price at that specific moment is verified against credible public sources. The outcome is determined by which price range bracket contains BNB's actual trading value at the settlement time. Once the event occurs and the price is confirmed, the market pays out to holders of the correct range contract and expires. This timing gives traders a defined window to position ahead of a concrete, observable event.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, Binance platform developments, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements. Technical milestones on the BNB Chain, changes in staking or tokenomics, and shifts in institutional adoption could also influence trader positioning. Geopolitical events or central bank policy changes that affect crypto sentiment more broadly may trigger repricing. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange flows, and news sentiment helps traders anticipate how this market may evolve before settlement.