TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 20, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on June 20, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Traders select which range they believe BNB will fall within, from below $475 up to $665 and above. The price is determined using CF Benchmarks' official BNB Real-Time Index.
Resolution is based on the 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) calculated immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 20, 2026. The price range outcomes partition the full spectrum into consecutive bands of $5 intervals, with each outcome covering a specific range (e.g., below $475, $475–$479.99, $480–$484.99, continuing through higher ranges up to $665 and above). Exactly one outcome will resolve Yes based on where the average price falls. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI, ensuring consistency and preventing disputes over price discrepancies between exchanges.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, often diverging from current spot prices because markets price in future uncertainty and catalyst risk. If this market shows high odds on a particular range, it suggests traders expect BNB to remain stable or move modestly; conversely, wide probability spreads across ranges signal disagreement or expected volatility. Comparing these odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the crowd is pricing in tail risks or underestimating near-term catalysts.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the market's liquidity and conviction; tighter spreads indicate confidence and active trading, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower participation. As new information surfaces—regulatory news, ecosystem developments, or macro shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time.
This market resolves around Jun 20, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by verifying BNB's price against credible public sources. The winning range is determined by where BNB trades at the specified moment; traders holding shares in the correct bracket receive their payout, while other positions expire worthless. Resolution is final once the price is locked in and verified, closing all open positions in this market.
Major catalysts include Binance regulatory announcements, BNB chain upgrades or security incidents, shifts in crypto market sentiment, and macroeconomic policy changes affecting risk appetite. On-chain metrics like staking volumes and network activity can also influence trader conviction. Additionally, Bitcoin and Ethereum price movements often correlate with BNB, so broader crypto momentum will likely drive this market's odds. Unexpected exchange news or competitive pressures from other blockchain platforms may also trigger repricing.