TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 19, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on June 19, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges, with each outcome representing a distinct band from below $480 up to $720 and above. The price is determined by a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' BNB Real-Time Index.
Resolution is based on the simple average of 60 consecutive seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) prices collected in the final minute before 5 PM EDT on June 19, 2026. Each outcome represents a specific price range, and exactly one outcome will resolve to Yes based on where the average falls. The ranges span from below $480 through $720 and above, with each range covering a $5 increment. CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI is the authoritative price source for determining which range bracket applies at expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the odds reveal which price ranges traders view as most likely by Jun 19, 2026, incorporating their expectations about market conditions, adoption trends, and macroeconomic factors. Unlike a static price quote, these odds update dynamically as new information emerges and traders adjust positions. Comparing the leading outcome's implied probability to broader market sentiment or published analyst targets can highlight where consensus is concentrated or fragmented.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each BNB price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The price of each share reflects the collective belief in that range's likelihood, with tighter spreads indicating higher confidence and wider spreads suggesting uncertainty. Traders profit by correctly predicting which range will contain BNB's price at the specified time, and the platform's matching engine ensures transparent price discovery throughout the event window.
This market resolves around Jun 19, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying BNB's actual price against credible public sources. The specific price range containing BNB's value at that moment becomes the winning outcome, and all shares in that range are paid out at full value. Shares in non-winning ranges expire worthless. Resolution is final once the price is confirmed and the market is settled on the platform.
Major catalysts affecting this market include regulatory announcements regarding crypto or BNB specifically, macroeconomic shifts impacting risk appetite, developments in the Binance ecosystem, and broader digital-asset adoption trends. Technical milestones, partnerships, or protocol upgrades could also shift trader expectations about BNB's mid-2026 valuation. Market-wide volatility, changes in institutional interest, and competing blockchain narratives may influence the odds across different price ranges. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust positions ahead of the June 2026 settlement date.