TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 17, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets divide the BNB price spectrum into consecutive $5 ranges on June 17, 2026 at 5 PM EDT, allowing traders to bet on which specific price band BNB will fall into at that moment. The official price is determined by taking a 60-second average of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) immediately before the expiration time.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI prices collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 17, 2026. The price range is divided into consecutive $5 intervals: below $520, $520–$524.99, $525–$529.99, continuing through $705–$709.99, and $710 or above. Exactly one market resolves Yes based on which range contains the 60-second average. CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative price source for resolution, rather than prices from other platforms like Google or Coinbase. The final resolution value is calculated as the arithmetic mean of all sixty RTI data points collected during the final minute before expiration.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where BNB will land, whereas spot prices show current market value. This market's odds often diverge from today's price because traders are pricing in volatility, macro events, and regulatory shifts over the coming months. If the leading outcome in this market commands significantly higher odds than historical price ranges suggest, it signals traders expect material movement. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus expectations or contrarian bets.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders buy and sell shares in each price-range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each bracket competes independently, and the odds for any range reflect the ratio of buy to sell pressure at current prices. Tighter spreads indicate high confidence and liquidity, while wider spreads suggest uncertainty or lower trading activity. As new information emerges—regulatory news, BNB ecosystem developments, or broader crypto sentiment shifts—traders adjust their positions, and the odds shift to reflect the new consensus.
This market resolves around Jun 17, 2026, when BNB's price is verified at the specified time. The outcome is determined by which price range BNB occupies at that exact moment, confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. Traders holding shares in the winning bracket receive their payout, while all other positions expire worthless. The resolution process is automated once the price data is finalized, ensuring a fair and transparent close.
Major catalysts include BNB ecosystem announcements, Binance regulatory developments, and shifts in broader crypto sentiment. Bitcoin and Ethereum price action often correlate strongly with BNB, so macro crypto events will ripple through this market. Staking changes, new token burns, or major partnerships could drive bullish repricing, while exchange enforcement actions or liquidity concerns could trigger sharp downside moves. On-chain metrics like active addresses and transaction volume also influence trader positioning. Geopolitical or macroeconomic shocks affecting risk appetite will likely reshape odds as traders reassess their June 2026 price targets.