TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 16, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
These markets divide the BNB/USD price range into specific bands on June 16, 2026 at 5pm EDT, allowing traders to bet on which price range BNB will fall within at that time. Each market covers a $5 price interval from below $520 up to $710 and above.
Resolution uses the same CF Benchmarks BNBUSD Real Time Index methodology as the threshold markets. Sixty consecutive RTI prices are collected in the final minute before 5pm EDT, and their simple average determines the settlement price. Each market covers a specific price band and resolves Yes if the average falls within that range. The bands partition the full price spectrum: below $520, then consecutive $5 intervals ($520-524.99, $525-529.99, etc.), up through $705-709.99, with a final band for $710 and above. This structure ensures exactly one market resolves Yes for any given settlement price, providing a complete price discovery mechanism.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will occur, often diverging from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. In this market, the odds embedded in contract prices represent the aggregated conviction of participants about where BNB will land. Unlike passive price indices, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment and real money at stake, which can signal confidence or skepticism that spot markets alone may not capture. Comparing these odds to traditional analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal where the crowd sees upside or downside risk.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell contracts corresponding to different BNB price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each contract pays out based on whether BNB settles within its designated band, and the bid-ask spread reflects the market's uncertainty around that outcome. Prices range from near-zero for unlikely bands to close to 100 cents for heavily favored ranges, allowing traders to express granular views on BNB's likely trading zone.
This market resolves around Jun 16, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed by verifying BNB's actual price against credible public sources. The winning price range is determined by where BNB trades at the specified moment, and contracts corresponding to that band pay out in full while others expire worthless. Resolution typically occurs shortly after the event time once the price data is finalized and verified.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Bitcoin and Ethereum prices, updates to the Binance ecosystem, macroeconomic data affecting risk appetite, and on-chain activity metrics. Geopolitical developments, central bank policy changes, and large exchange inflows or outflows can also sway trader positioning. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create clustering around certain price bands, while unexpected news about Binance's operations or compliance status could trigger sharp repricing across all ranges.