TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 10, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Binance Coin's exchange rate against the dollar will be measured on June 10, 2026 at 5 PM EDT using a 60-second average price. This event divides the possible price range into specific price bands to identify which range the rate falls within.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect forward-looking consensus on BNB's price range, while spot price expectations derive from technical analysis, analyst forecasts, and on-chain metrics. Prediction markets incorporate real financial incentives—traders profit or lose based on accuracy—whereas analyst expectations may lack direct accountability. The market odds typically converge toward consensus as the resolution date approaches, though divergences can signal underpriced or overpriced outcomes relative to traditional analyst views.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, BNB price range outcomes are priced as binary or categorical contracts where each range bracket carries its own odds. Traders buy or sell shares at prices reflecting the probability of BNB settling within that range at the June 10, 2026 5pm EDT snapshot. Prices range from near-zero to near-100 cents per share, with the sum of all outcomes equaling 100 cents. Liquidity and trading volume on each range outcome determine the tightness of bid-ask spreads and price discovery efficiency.
Major catalysts include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, macroeconomic shifts in risk appetite, Bitcoin price movements (BNB often correlates strongly), developments in Binance Smart Chain adoption, and changes in staking or tokenomics. Geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts, and large exchange inflows or outflows can also drive volatility. Technical breakouts or breakdowns, institutional adoption news, and competing blockchain developments may influence trader positioning and shift market odds for each price range outcome.