TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$141,541,542
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,440,096,988
406,065
Markets across
30,522
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,692
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 8, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides BNB's price on July 8, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Traders select which range they believe the price will fall within, with each range representing a $5 interval.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI prices collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 8, 2026. The market is divided into mutually exclusive price ranges, each spanning $5, with one outcome resolving to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' RTI. All sixty prices are collected and averaged to determine the final value used for resolution.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader beliefs about where BNB will settle, often incorporating forward-looking sentiment that spot prices alone may not capture. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in longer-term conviction about BNB's range at the specified time. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish, bearish, or neutral scenarios relative to consensus expectations.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous order-book matching, where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each BNB price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The bid-ask spread reflects the market's liquidity and conviction around each bracket. As new information emerges—regulatory news, network upgrades, or macroeconomic shifts—traders adjust their positions, moving the odds in real time. The final price at any moment represents the marginal trader's assessment of that outcome's probability.
This market resolves around Jul 8, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by where BNB actually trades at that precise moment. The winning bracket is verified against credible public sources to confirm which price range BNB occupied at the snapshot time. All shares in the correct range pay out in full, while incorrect outcomes expire worthless. This binary structure ensures clear, objective settlement with no ambiguity.
Major catalysts include Binance regulatory developments, shifts in crypto market sentiment, macroeconomic policy announcements, and BNB-specific network or tokenomics news. Large Bitcoin or Ethereum moves often correlate with altcoin volatility, so broader market swings can reshape trader expectations. Exchange listings, partnership announcements, or changes to BNB's utility within the Binance ecosystem could also trigger repricing. Monitoring on-chain metrics, social sentiment, and institutional positioning helps traders anticipate how this market may shift before resolution.