TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB price range on Jul 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BNB price range on Jul 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$138

$580 to 584.99

 - Kalshi

$580 to 584.99 - Kalshi

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Positive

Negative

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 7, 2026

Closed: Jul 7, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

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Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$580 to 584.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$11
N/A
N/A
$8
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$570 to 574.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$59
N/A
N/A
$59
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$29
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$20
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$575 to 579.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$13
N/A
N/A
$11
Settled
No
kalshi

$585 to 589.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$4
N/A
N/A
$2
Settled
No
kalshi

$590 to 594.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$595 to 599.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$600 to 604.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$479.99 or below

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$480 to 484.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$485 to 489.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$490 to 494.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$495 to 499.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$500 to 504.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$505 to 509.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$510 to 514.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This event divides Binance Coin's price on July 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Participants select which range they believe BNB will fall within, from below $480 up to $670 or above. The official price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNB Real-Time Index data at expiration.

Kalshi

Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 7, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls (e.g., below $480, between $480-484.99, between $485-489.99, etc.). The official final value is the average of all 60 RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration. Cryptocurrency price data varies across sources; CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this market, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the BNB price range market dashboard displays real-time odds for where BNB will trade at a specific moment in July 2026. The interface shows the current probability distribution across predefined price bands, along with historical price movement and trading activity. Traders use this data to monitor how market participants are positioning around BNB's expected value at that future date. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades flow in, giving you a live snapshot of consensus expectations for this particular outcome.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where BNB will settle, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in expectations about volatility, adoption trends, and macroeconomic conditions over the coming months. Comparing the implied price range here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays bid-ask spreads for each range, and the midpoint reflects the current market consensus. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the odds update in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the spreads remain and how quickly prices adjust to new information.

This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, at which point the actual BNB price will be verified against credible public sources to determine which price range bracket it fell into. The outcome is determined by where BNB closes at that specific moment, and resolution occurs once the event is confirmed through established market data providers. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.

Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Binance's business developments, macroeconomic policy changes, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and network activity can signal trader positioning. Geopolitical events, central bank decisions, and institutional adoption trends also influence longer-dated crypto expectations. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their price range bets as new information becomes available.