TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jul 7, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event divides Binance Coin's price on July 7, 2026 at 5pm EDT into specific price ranges. Participants select which range they believe BNB will fall within, from below $480 up to $670 or above. The official price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNB Real-Time Index data at expiration.
Resolution is based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 7, 2026. Each outcome represents a distinct price range, and exactly one outcome resolves to Yes based on where the 60-second average falls (e.g., below $480, between $480-484.99, between $485-489.99, etc.). The official final value is the average of all 60 RTI prices collected during the final minute before expiration. Cryptocurrency price data varies across sources; CF Benchmarks' RTI is the authoritative source for this market, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where BNB will settle, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and uncertainty. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market prices in expectations about volatility, adoption trends, and macroeconomic conditions over the coming months. Comparing the implied price range here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform displays bid-ask spreads for each range, and the midpoint reflects the current market consensus. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the odds update in real time. Liquidity and trading volume directly influence how tight the spreads remain and how quickly prices adjust to new information.
This market resolves around Jul 7, 2026, at which point the actual BNB price will be verified against credible public sources to determine which price range bracket it fell into. The outcome is determined by where BNB closes at that specific moment, and resolution occurs once the event is confirmed through established market data providers. Traders holding shares in the correct range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless.
Major catalysts for this market include regulatory announcements affecting BNB or the broader crypto sector, shifts in Binance's business developments, macroeconomic policy changes, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and network activity can signal trader positioning. Geopolitical events, central bank decisions, and institutional adoption trends also influence longer-dated crypto expectations. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their price range bets as new information becomes available.