TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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BNB price range on Jul 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?
kalshi

BNB price range on Jul 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT?

Volume:
$134

$555 to 559.99

 - Kalshi

$555 to 559.99 - Kalshi

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jul 2, 2026

Closed: Jul 2, 5:00 PM EST

kalshi

Kalshi

View
Join Kalshi and score $25 for your first trade.
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
kalshi

$555 to 559.99

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
100¢
N/A
$99
N/A
N/A
$98
Settled
Yes
kalshi

$560 to 564.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$31
N/A
N/A
$27
Settled
No
kalshi

$550 to 554.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$3
N/A
N/A
$3
Settled
No
kalshi

$565 to 569.99

0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
100¢
N/A
$1
N/A
N/A
$1
Settled
No
kalshi

$449.99 or below

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$450 to 454.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$455 to 459.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$460 to 464.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$465 to 469.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$470 to 474.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$475 to 479.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$480 to 484.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$485 to 489.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$490 to 494.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$495 to 499.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$500 to 504.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$505 to 509.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$510 to 514.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$515 to 519.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$520 to 524.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$525 to 529.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$530 to 534.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$535 to 539.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$540 to 544.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
kalshi

$545 to 549.99

N/A
N/A
100¢
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 25 of 40

Description

This market divides BNB's possible price range into specific bands on July 2, 2026 at 5pm EDT. Participants select which $5 price range they believe BNB will occupy, with outcomes spanning from $449.99 or below up to $640 or above.

Kalshi

The market resolves based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI prices collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on July 2, 2026. CF Benchmarks' Real-Time Index is the authoritative price source, not alternative cryptocurrency data platforms. At the moment of expiration, sixty individual RTI prices are sampled and their simple average is calculated to determine the final reference price. The resulting average price determines which specific price range outcome is correct. This methodology using institutional-grade benchmark data ensures consistent, reliable price determination and prevents disputes over which price source to use.

Frequently asked questions

On Kalshi, the BNB price range market dashboard tracks real-time odds and historical price movement for where BNB will trade at a specific moment in time. The interface displays current implied probabilities for each price bracket outcome, along with 24-hour volume and liquidity depth. Traders use this data to monitor consensus expectations around BNB's valuation relative to spot markets. The dashboard updates continuously as new trades flow in, giving you a live snapshot of how the market is pricing different price scenarios for this event.

Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where BNB will settle, often diverging from current spot prices because they embed forward-looking sentiment and event risk. While spot exchanges show today's price, this market prices in uncertainty and potential volatility over the coming months. Comparing the implied probabilities here to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish catalysts. The odds tend to shift as new information emerges, making them a useful barometer of collective expectations distinct from static price quotes.

On Kalshi, this market is priced through an order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to each price range outcome. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Each share pays out if that bracket resolves true, creating a direct incentive for accurate pricing. The bid-ask spread reflects liquidity and disagreement among participants; tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and deeper order flow. As traders update their views, the implied probability for each range adjusts in real time, with the most liquid outcomes typically offering the tightest execution costs.

This market resolves around Jul 2, 2026, at which point the outcome is determined by verifying BNB's price at that specific moment against credible public sources. Once the event timestamp passes and the price is confirmed, the market settles to the range bracket that contains the actual price. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while other positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once the price data is publicly available and cross-checked.

Major catalysts for this market include BNB ecosystem announcements, regulatory developments affecting Binance, macroeconomic shifts in crypto sentiment, and Bitcoin or Ethereum price movements. Technical milestones on the BNB chain, token burns, or changes to staking rewards can also shift trader expectations. Broader market events—such as Fed policy shifts, institutional adoption news, or exchange regulatory actions—often ripple through altcoin valuations. Monitoring on-chain metrics, developer activity, and news flow will help you anticipate how this market reprices as new information surfaces.