TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of a cryptocurrency at a specific future moment, using a precise measurement method to determine the outcome. The resolution depends on where the price falls within a range of predefined brackets at an exact time.
The event resolves based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. Each market corresponds to a specific price range, and the market associated with the range that contains this average price resolves to 'Yes,' with all others resolving to 'No.' Price data is sourced exclusively from CF Benchmarks' RTI, with the official value determined by averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration. This methodology ensures consistency and objectivity in determining the outcome, despite variations in price data across different platforms.
On Kalshi, the current probability reflects trader sentiment about where BNB might sit by Aug 28, 2026. This differs from traditional spot price forecasts, which often rely on broader market analysis or analyst reports. While spot expectations may consider macro trends, this market incorporates real-time betting dynamics and sentiment shifts. Traders can use this market as a gauge of collective optimism or caution, especially when major crypto events or regulatory news loom. The gap between spot predictions and this market’s odds can highlight areas of disagreement or emerging trends among active participants.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through continuous trading, where participants buy and sell contracts based on their outlook for BNB’s value. The current top outcome probability shows what the majority of traders expect, while the spread indicates how tightly the market is contested. Volume of $2 and 24-hour volume of $0 reflect overall interest and liquidity. As we approach Aug 28, 2026, trading activity often intensifies, driving sharper price movements based on new information or shifts in market sentiment.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. On that date, the closing BNB price will be checked against the defined ranges, and the matching interval determines the winning side. The process relies on widely accepted data sources to ensure an objective result for all participants.
Several key signals could influence this market before Aug 28, 2026. Major announcements from Binance, including product launches or token upgrades, often shift trader sentiment. Broader cryptocurrency market trends, such as regulatory updates or macroeconomic shifts, can also impact BNB’s perceived value. Exchange-specific events like listing announcements or security incidents may affect trader confidence. As Aug 28, 2026 approaches, any significant volatility in the crypto market or news directly involving BNB could cause rapid adjustments in this market’s odds.