TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 14, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks the price of a specific cryptocurrency at a precise moment, using a standardized method to calculate the final value from real-time data collected over a short period.
The event determines the outcome based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) prices immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 14, 2026. Each market resolves to 'Yes' if this average falls within its specified price range; otherwise, it resolves to 'No'. The official price is derived from averaging 60 RTI prices collected in the final minute before expiration, ensuring consistency and accuracy despite variations across different data sources. All markets share the same underlying price calculation methodology, with outcomes determined solely by where the computed average falls relative to each range.
Several signals could shift probabilities in this market before Aug 14, 2026. Major announcements from Binance, regulatory updates affecting exchange tokens, or broad crypto market volatility may influence trader sentiment. Performance of major cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin, macro economic data, or shifts in institutional investment can also ripple through this market. As the resolution date nears, short-term price swings or significant trading volume spikes are likely to cause rapid adjustments in implied odds.