TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$126,324,530
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,434,646,834
406,019
Markets across
30,401
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,689
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Sep 4, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
The event tracks whether the Binance Coin (BNB) cryptocurrency reaches or exceeds various price thresholds by a specific date and time. Each threshold represents a different price level that BNB must achieve for the corresponding market to resolve positively. The outcome depends on the average price of BNB during the final minute before the specified deadline.
The event consists of multiple markets, each defined by a specific price threshold that BNB must surpass at 5 PM EDT on September 4, 2026, for the market to resolve to 'Yes.' The resolving price is determined by calculating the simple average of the sixty-second Real Time Index (RTI) prices provided by CF Benchmarks during the minute immediately preceding 5 PM EDT. If this average exceeds the respective threshold for a given market (e.g., $579.99, $584.99, etc.), that market resolves to 'Yes'; otherwise, it resolves to 'No.' All markets share the same data source and methodology, ensuring consistency across thresholds. The secondary rules clarify that while external sources like Google or Coinbase may offer reference points, the official price used for resolution is exclusively derived from CF Benchmarks' RTI, with the final value being the average of the 60 RTI prices collected in the last minute before expiration.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order book where traders submit bids and asks to set the odds. The current implied probability reflects the collective assessment of participants about where BNB will sit at the exact close time, adjusting dynamically with new information, volume of $246, and liquidity provider activity.
This market resolves around Sep 4, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public sources. At that point, the closing price of BNB at the specified time will be compared against the market’s settled value, determining which side wins based on the verified data.
Several signals could shift this market before resolution, including major BNB protocol upgrades, regulatory announcements affecting Binance or BNB, macroeconomic shifts impacting crypto markets, and high-volume trading events on major exchanges. Any development that changes the perceived future value of BNB — whether technical, geopolitical, or market-wide — may cause rapid re-pricing in odds and volume.