TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 31, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
Cryptocurrency price tracking for Binance Coin on May 31, 2026, measured at 5 PM EDT using CF Benchmarks' official rate index averaged over 60 seconds, with escalating price thresholds.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect traders' forward-looking bets on BNB's price, which often diverge from current spot prices and analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate news and sentiment, prediction markets embed longer-term expectations and incentivize accuracy through real financial stakes. Comparing the implied probabilities here to consensus analyst price targets or on-chain sentiment indicators can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to mainstream expectations. This comparison helps identify whether prediction traders see upside or downside risk that traditional forecasters may have overlooked.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, BNB price outcomes are structured as discrete price brackets or ranges, with each outcome assigned a separate contract. Traders buy or sell shares in the outcome they believe will occur, and the price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate for that bracket. Kalshi's order book mechanism allows continuous price discovery; as new information arrives or trader conviction shifts, bid-ask spreads tighten or widen accordingly. The final settlement price on May 31, 2026 determines which bracket resolves to one dollar and all others to zero, making the market a direct measure of crowd confidence in specific BNB price levels.
This market resolves on May 31, 2026, at which point the BNB price is fixed and compared against the predefined outcome brackets. The exact settlement time and price source are specified in the market terms to ensure objective, verifiable resolution. Once the reference price is confirmed, the outcome bracket containing that price is marked as correct, and all shares in that outcome are worth one dollar while all other outcomes expire worthless. This binary settlement structure eliminates ambiguity and ensures traders know precisely when and how their positions will be finalized.
BNB price over the next 18+ months could be shaped by Binance platform developments, regulatory clarity on exchange tokens, broader cryptocurrency adoption trends, and macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite. Major catalysts include changes to BNB's tokenomics or burn schedule, new use cases within the Binance ecosystem, and shifts in institutional crypto demand. Geopolitical events, central bank policy, and competing blockchain platforms also influence the entire crypto market. Traders on Kalshi will reprice these outcomes as new information emerges, so monitoring announcements from Binance, regulatory bodies, and macro indicators can help you anticipate market moves before they occur.