TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks BNB's price on June 28, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index. The price is determined by averaging 60 seconds of RTI data collected just before the expiration time.
If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $459.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $464.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $469.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $474.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $479.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $484.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $489.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $494.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $499.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $504.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $509.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $514.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $519.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $524.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $529.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $534.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $539.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $544.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $549.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $554.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $559.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $564.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $569.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $574.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $579.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $584.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $589.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $594.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $599.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $604.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $609.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $614.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $619.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $624.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $629.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $634.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $639.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $644.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $649.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes. If the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI before 5 PM EDT is above $654.99 at 5 PM EDT on Jun 28, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Prediction market odds reflect aggregated trader conviction about where BNB will trade, often diverging from current spot prices because they incorporate forward-looking sentiment and tail-risk hedging. While spot exchanges show what BNB costs right now, this market prices what traders collectively believe it will be worth at the resolution time. Comparing the two reveals whether the prediction market is pricing in bullish momentum, bearish pressure, or stability relative to today's level. Analysts and institutional traders often monitor such divergences as a contrarian signal or confirmation of broader market direction.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where traders buy and sell shares corresponding to different BNB price ranges or outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches buyers and sellers in real time, and the clearing price reflects the marginal trade—the last executed order. As new information emerges or trader sentiment shifts, the bid-ask spread widens or tightens, and the mid-market price adjusts accordingly. This dynamic pricing ensures the market remains responsive to breaking news, technical developments, or macroeconomic shifts affecting cryptocurrency valuations.
This market resolves around Jun 28, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once BNB's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The settlement is based on the spot price at that specific moment, ensuring an objective and transparent conclusion. Traders holding positions aligned with the final price level receive their payout, while those on the wrong side of the move incur losses. The timing is fixed and announced in advance, giving all participants a clear deadline to manage their exposure.
Major catalysts for BNB price movement include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility (which often drive altcoin sentiment), macroeconomic data, and platform-specific developments such as token burns or new product launches. Geopolitical events, central bank policy shifts, and institutional adoption news can also trigger sharp repricing. Technical breakouts or breakdowns on daily and weekly charts may attract algorithmic traders, amplifying momentum. Monitoring on-chain metrics, exchange inflows, and social sentiment helps traders anticipate shifts in this market's odds before they materialize.