TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 27, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks BNB's price at a specific moment on June 27, 2026 at 5 PM EDT. Traders predict whether BNB will reach or exceed various price thresholds, ranging from $465 to $660, using CF Benchmarks' official BNBUSD Real-Time Index.
Resolution is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index (BNBUSD_RTI) prices collected immediately before 5 PM EDT on June 27, 2026. Each outcome corresponds to a specific price threshold in $5 increments, with resolution to Yes if the average price exceeds the threshold for that outcome. The official price source is CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI, not alternative sources like Google or Coinbase, ensuring consistency across all price-based outcomes.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders collectively believe will happen, whereas spot prices on crypto exchanges show what BNB costs right now. This market aggregates forward-looking sentiment from many participants who have real money at stake, often incorporating news, technical analysis, and macroeconomic signals faster than casual price-watching. When odds diverge sharply from analyst forecasts or historical volatility patterns, it can signal either a market inefficiency or emerging information that hasn't yet moved the spot price. Comparing the two reveals whether traders are pricing in upside, downside, or stability relative to current levels.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers post bids and asks for different price outcomes. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Traders profit by correctly predicting where BNB will trade at the specified time, and the platform matches orders in real time. The odds you see reflect the last traded price and available liquidity at each price level. As new trades execute, the implied probability updates instantly, creating a dynamic market that responds to breaking news, technical moves, or shifts in trader conviction throughout the contract's lifetime.
This market resolves around Jun 27, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The contract will settle based on where BNB actually trades at that specific moment, compared to the price ranges offered in the market. Traders who correctly predicted the winning range receive their payout, while those on losing positions forfeit their stake. The resolution process is final once the data is locked in, so timing and accuracy are critical to profitability in this event.
Major catalysts for BNB price action include regulatory announcements affecting Binance or the broader crypto sector, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum shifts, changes in DeFi activity on the BNB Chain, and macroeconomic events like interest rate decisions or inflation data. Technical breakouts or breakdowns could trigger rapid repricing, as could news about exchange listings, token burns, or ecosystem developments. Geopolitical tensions or shifts in institutional crypto adoption also influence sentiment. Traders monitoring this market watch these signals closely and adjust their positions accordingly, which is why odds can swing sharply on breaking news in the hours or days before settlement.