TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 15, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This market tracks BNB's price on June 15, 2026 at 5pm EDT using CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index. Each outcome represents a minimum price threshold, ranging from $510 up to $705 or above in $5 increments.
The market resolves based on the simple average of sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real-Time Index collected before 5 PM EDT on June 15, 2026. Each outcome represents a price threshold, with resolution to Yes if the average price exceeds that threshold. Thresholds range from $510 to $705 or above in $5 increments. The official price is determined using CF Benchmarks' RTI. At the last minute before expiration, exactly 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to produce the final resolution value.
Prediction market odds reflect what traders are willing to risk on specific BNB price outcomes, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets react to immediate supply and demand, this market aggregates longer-term conviction across many participants over months. Traders here are betting on June 2026 valuations, so the odds embed expectations about adoption, regulation, macroeconomic conditions, and competitive dynamics. Comparing these implied probabilities to traditional analyst price targets or on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to consensus views.
On Kalshi, this market is priced through a continuous order-book mechanism where buyers and sellers submit bids and offers for different BNB price ranges. On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The platform matches trades in real time, and the midpoint of the spread reflects the current market consensus. Each price bracket has its own liquidity pool, so tighter spreads indicate higher confidence and participation in that outcome. As new information surfaces—regulatory news, technical developments, or macroeconomic shifts—traders adjust their positions, and prices move to reflect updated expectations about where BNB will trade on the settlement date.
This market resolves around Jun 15, 2026, at which point the outcome is confirmed once BNB's price is verifiable from credible public sources. The specific price level at that moment determines which outcome bracket wins. Traders who correctly predicted the price range receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Until that date, you can trade your position, hedge exposure, or hold for the full duration. The resolution is objective and based on observable market data, ensuring all participants have equal clarity on the final result.
Major regulatory announcements—particularly around cryptocurrency frameworks in the US or Asia—can significantly shift BNB valuations and trader positioning. Binance operational developments, such as compliance updates or product launches, often trigger repricing. Broader crypto market movements, including Bitcoin and Ethereum volatility, typically influence altcoin sentiment. Macroeconomic events like interest-rate decisions or inflation data can affect risk appetite for digital assets. Technical milestones on the Binance Smart Chain, competitive pressures from other layer-one blockchains, and shifts in institutional adoption also move this market. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate price discovery and adjust their bets accordingly.