TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$133,388,117
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,436,095,462
405,232
Markets across
30,526
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,693
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 11, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This event tracks Binance Coin's price on June 11, 2026 at 5 PM EDT, measuring the 60-second average from CF Benchmarks' real-time index across progressively higher price thresholds spanning a substantial range of valuations.
Settlement is determined by the simple average of 60 seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD_RTI collected before 5 PM EDT on June 11, 2026. The price is measured against specific thresholds ranging from $480 or above to $675 or above, with each threshold defining a separate market outcome. At the last minute before expiration, 60 RTI prices are collected and averaged to produce the official settlement value. If no data is published by the specified source agency for the specified time, the most recently available published data will be used to resolve the market.
Prediction market odds on Kalshi reflect trader consensus on BNB's price at that specific time, which often diverges from current spot prices or analyst forecasts. While spot markets price BNB for immediate settlement, prediction markets embed expectations about volatility, regulatory developments, and macro conditions over the next 18+ months. Comparing the implied price from market odds to analyst price targets and on-chain sentiment can reveal whether traders expect BNB to appreciate, depreciate, or consolidate by June 2026. This gap highlights how forward-looking markets price tail risks differently than near-term trading.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, BNB price outcomes are structured as discrete price brackets, with traders buying and selling shares that correspond to specific price ranges at the June 11, 2026 5pm EDT snapshot. Each bracket's share price reflects the probability traders assign to BNB settling in that range. Liquidity and spreads vary by bracket; tighter ranges near current expectations typically see more volume, while extreme outcomes trade wider. The platform uses real-time price feeds to determine settlement, ensuring the outcome reflects actual market data at the designated time.
This market resolves on Jun 11, 2026, marking the official settlement time. Resolution is determined by BNB's price at exactly 5pm EDT on June 11, 2026, as captured by the platform's data source. Once that moment passes, the outcome is locked in and shares are settled according to which price bracket BNB occupied at that snapshot. Early closure or extension is possible only under extraordinary circumstances. Traders should monitor the countdown timer on the dashboard as the resolution date approaches.
BNB price by June 2026 could be shaped by Binance regulatory developments, broader crypto adoption trends, Bitcoin and Ethereum momentum, macroeconomic policy shifts, and exchange-specific announcements. Layer-1 blockchain competition, staking yield changes, and BNB Chain ecosystem growth are also material catalysts. Geopolitical events affecting crypto markets, central bank decisions, and institutional adoption waves could drive significant repricing. Traders should track Binance's quarterly reports, regulatory filings, and on-chain metrics like staking volume and network activity to gauge conviction in their price forecasts.