TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Aug 28, 5:00 PM EST
Kalshi
This set of markets focuses on predicting whether the price of BNB will surpass various thresholds by a specific date and time. Each outcome represents a different price level that BNB might reach or exceed, allowing participants to speculate on the cryptocurrency's potential value at that moment.
All markets resolve based on the simple average of the sixty seconds of CF Benchmarks' BNBUSD Real Time Index (RTI) immediately before 5 PM EDT on August 28, 2026. For a market to resolve as 'Yes,' this average must exceed the specified threshold (e.g., $554.99, $559.99, etc.) at that exact time. The official price is determined by collecting 60 RTI prices during the final minute before expiration and averaging them. Participants should note that price data sources like Google or Coinbase may differ, and the resolving authority uses CF Benchmarks' RTI as the definitive reference. All markets share these consistent measurement and resolution procedures, ensuring uniformity across outcomes regardless of the target price level.
Prediction market odds offer a forward-looking view that often diverges from current spot prices. While spot prices reflect recent trading activity, this market incorporates expectations for future events, macro trends, and crypto-specific developments. Analysts may see this market as either aligned with or deviating from spot forecasts, depending on recent volatility and major announcements impacting BNB.
On Kalshi, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Kalshi, traders collectively set the odds based on their expectations for BNB's price at the specific close time. The platform’s pricing mechanism reflects supply and demand for each possible price range, adjusting continuously as new information emerges. Market depth and liquidity levels influence how swiftly prices change in response to breaking news or shifts in broader crypto market trends.
This market resolves around Aug 28, 2026, with the outcome confirmed once the event is verifiable from credible public reporting. The final settlement will compare the official closing price of BNB at the specified time against the market’s defined price ranges. No additional criteria or external data sources beyond widely accepted public records are required for resolution.
Several signals could shift this market before Aug 28, 2026. Major announcements from Binance, regulatory updates affecting crypto exchanges, widespread adoption or integration of BNB, and broader market movements in the cryptocurrency space may all influence trader sentiment. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, market corrections, or unexpected technological developments could cause rapid repricing as participants adjust their expectations.