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Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?
polymarket
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

Volume:
$235,107

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 13, 2026

Closed: Jun 13, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$211,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 13?

View
N/A
N/A
—
$740
$23,631
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This event group tracks whether Bitcoin's price on Binance (BTC/USDT pair) will be higher or lower on June 13, 2026 at noon ET compared to June 12, 2026 at noon ET. Resolution is based on the 1-minute candle close prices at these specific timestamps, with a 50-50 split if prices are exactly equal.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms use identical resolution criteria, baseline timestamp, comparison timestamp, data source, and tie-breaking rule.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT trading pair, 1-minute candle close prices, accessed via https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT

Core resolution logic:

  • Establish baseline: Close price of BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at June 12, 2026 12:00 ET (noon)
  • Establish comparison: Close price of BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at June 13, 2026 12:00 ET (noon)
  • Resolve to Up if June 13 close price is strictly higher than June 12 close price
  • Resolve to Down if June 13 close price is strictly lower than June 12 close price
  • Resolve to 50-50 split if both candle close prices are exactly equal

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Price Equality: If the close prices for both 1-minute candles are identical to the last decimal place on Binance, the market resolves 50-50 across all positions.
  • Data Source Exclusivity: Resolution uses only Binance BTC/USDT pair data. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs (e.g., BTC/USD, other platforms) are explicitly excluded.
  • Candle Granularity: Resolution requires 1-minute candle close prices specifically. Intraday volatility or prices outside the exact candle close are not considered.
  • Timezone Specification: Both timestamps are fixed to ET (Eastern Time) timezone at noon (12:00). No adjustment for daylight saving or alternative timezone interpretation.
Timing: Resolution occurs after June 13, 2026 12:00 ET when the final 1-minute candle close price for BTC/USDT on Binance is confirmed and can be compared against the June 12, 2026 12:00 ET baseline.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 12 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 13 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect real money at stake, making them a forward-looking gauge of trader conviction that often diverges from spot price alone. While spot price shows where Bitcoin trades right now, this market prices in expected volatility, news flow, and macro catalysts between now and the settlement date. Traders who believe a particular outcome is underpriced relative to its true probability will buy that side, gradually shifting odds toward equilibrium. The gap between these odds and your own view of the probability represents potential edge—if you think the market is mispriced, you can trade accordingly.