TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?
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Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?

Volume:
$223,313

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 12, 2026

Closed: Jun 12, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$199,836
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 12?

N/A
N/A
—
$128
$23,477
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms apply identical resolution logic comparing June 11 2026 noon ET close to June 12 2026 noon ET close on Binance BTC/USDT, with explicit 50-50 tie resolution.Primary resolution logic: Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candles at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with 1m and Candles view selected

Core resolution logic:

  • UP: June 11 2026 12:00 ET close price is lower than June 12 2026 12:00 ET close price
  • DOWN: June 11 2026 12:00 ET close price is higher than June 12 2026 12:00 ET close price
  • 50-50 SPLIT: June 11 2026 12:00 ET close price equals June 12 2026 12:00 ET close price exactly
  • Data source is exclusively Binance BTC/USDT pair, not other exchanges or trading pairs

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Price Equality: If both candle closes are identical to the smallest unit of precision, the market resolves 50-50 split between UP and DOWN outcomes
  • Data Availability: Resolution depends on Binance 1-minute candle data being available and accessible at the specified URL with 1m and Candles view selected
  • Timezone Specification: Both reference timestamps must be interpreted as Eastern Time (ET) timezone; no ambiguity exists as both platforms specify ET explicitly
Timing: Resolution occurs after June 12 2026 12:00 ET when the final close price for that candle is recorded on BinanceOur PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 11 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 12 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.