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Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?
polymarket
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

Volume:
$329,145

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

all

2 markets

Polymarket

Predict

consensus

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 11, 2026

Closed: Jun 11, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$288,810
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
predict

Bitcoin Up or Down on June 11?

View
N/A
N/A
—
N/A
$40,335
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
No
Total markets: 2

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

PredictionHero - Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA)

Unified Resolution Criteria (Consistent across platforms)

Both platforms specify identical resolution criteria, data source, trading pair, timezone, and edge case handling with no material divergence.Primary resolution logic: Binance official trading platform, BTC/USDT pair, 1-minute candle close prices

Core resolution logic:

  • Obtain the close price from the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at June 10, 2026 12:00 ET (noon)
  • Obtain the close price from the Binance BTC/USDT 1-minute candle at June 11, 2026 12:00 ET (noon)
  • If June 10 close price is lower than June 11 close price, resolve to Up
  • If June 10 close price is higher than June 11 close price, resolve to Down
  • If both close prices are exactly equal, resolve 50-50 split

Edge cases & clarifications:

  • Exact Price Equality: If the close prices for both candles are exactly equal on Binance, the market resolves 50-50, splitting all positions equally between Up and Down outcomes.
  • Data Source Exclusivity: Resolution is exclusively based on Binance BTC/USDT pair. Prices from other exchanges or trading pairs are explicitly excluded from consideration.
  • Candle Specification: Resolution requires the 1-minute candle view with Candles selected on Binance's top bar. Only the close price of the specified candle is used, not open, high, or low prices.
  • Timezone Precision: Both timestamps must be interpreted in ET (Eastern Time) timezone. June 10, 2026 12:00 ET and June 11, 2026 12:00 ET are the exact reference points.
Timing: Resolution occurs after June 11, 2026 12:00 ET when the final close price for the June 11 candle is confirmed on Binance. Both reference candles must have completed their 1-minute cycles before resolution can be finalized.Our PredictionHero Resolution Divergence Alerts (RDA) are there to help users identify potential differences across platforms. They do not replace or supersede the official rules and description of any prediction market. Users are solely responsible for reviewing and understanding the applicable rules and resolution criteria before placing any trade or bet. If you notice a potential inconsistency, discrepancy, or error in an alert, please report it to our team so we can review and improve the accuracy of our data.

Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Predict

This market will resolve to "Up" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is lower than the final "Close" price for the Jun 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. This market will resolve to "Down" if the "Close" price for the Binance 1 minute candle for BTC/USDT Jun 10 '26 12:00 in the ET timezone (noon) is higher than the final "Close" price for the Jun 11 '26 12:00 ET candle. If the final "Close" price for both of these candles is exactly equal on Binance, this market will resolve 50-50. The resolution source for this market is Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT "Close" prices currently available at https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT with "1m" and "Candles" selected on the top bar. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data releases, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that typically drive risk-on or risk-off flows. Bitcoin-specific events such as regulatory news, exchange inflows or outflows, and large on-chain transactions can trigger sharp directional moves. Geopolitical tensions, corporate adoption news, and technical chart breakouts also influence short-term direction. Monitoring these signals alongside prediction market odds helps traders anticipate which way conviction may shift before June 11 settlement.