TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET

Volume:
$21,975

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 7AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$21,975
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The Polymarket dashboard for this event tracks real-time odds on whether Bitcoin's price will move up or down by May 31, 2026. You can monitor the current implied probability for each outcome, observe how odds shift as new information emerges, and review 24-hour trading volume to gauge market activity and liquidity. The dashboard displays the live order book, historical price charts, and key statistics that help traders understand market sentiment and positioning around Bitcoin's directional movement on that specific date and time.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Bitcoin's direction, which may differ from spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot prices react to immediate news and trading flows, prediction markets price in longer-term conviction about where Bitcoin will trade by May 31, 2026. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts, on-chain metrics, and macroeconomic sentiment can reveal whether the market is pricing in tail risks or consensus views. Divergences between prediction odds and spot volatility often signal where informed traders see value or risk.

Major catalysts for Bitcoin's direction by May 31, 2026 include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, regulatory developments, and macroeconomic shifts affecting risk appetite. Geopolitical tensions, corporate adoption news, and large on-chain transactions can trigger sharp moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also influence price action. Market sentiment around altcoins and traditional equities often correlates with Bitcoin volatility. Traders monitoring Polymarket odds should watch for sudden shifts that reflect new information or positioning changes. Real-time news flow, derivatives funding rates, and whale wallet activity are key signals that often precede directional moves.