TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,590,312

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,439,516,703

404,175

Markets across

30,277

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,685

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET

Volume:
$25,497

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 3PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,497
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this binary Bitcoin price event. It displays the current probability that Bitcoin will move up or down by market close on May 31 at 3PM ET. You can monitor live price history, recent trades, and order-book depth to understand how traders are positioning. The dashboard also shows $25,497 in 24-hour volume, reflecting current market interest and liquidity for this specific outcome.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that typically drive Bitcoin volatility. Regulatory news—especially from the SEC or international bodies—can trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation, exchange inflows, and mining difficulty adjustments also influence short-term price action. Geopolitical events, corporate adoption announcements, and technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels are additional factors traders monitor when positioning for this May 31 outcome.