TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET

Volume:
$27,301

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 1:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 31, 12AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$27,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction by May 31, 12AM ET. Federal Reserve policy announcements and interest rate decisions typically drive crypto sentiment. Major regulatory news—such as SEC rulings on spot Bitcoin ETFs or government crackdowns—can trigger sharp moves. Macroeconomic data like inflation reports and employment figures influence risk appetite. On-chain metrics, whale wallet activity, and institutional adoption announcements also matter. Geopolitical events, corporate earnings, and competing asset class performance can redirect capital flows. Technical levels and options expiry dates may create volatility clusters. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate whether prediction market odds will shift before resolution.