TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Tour
All
Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET

Volume:
$20,374

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 9:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$20,374
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 8AM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome decided by whether the hourly close exceeds the open at the specified time and date.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET event on Polymarket. You can monitor the current probability that Bitcoin's price will move up or down by market close on May 30 at 8AM ET. The dashboard displays live odds, historical price trends, and 24-hour trading volume $14,629 to help you understand market sentiment and liquidity. Track how odds shift as new information emerges and compare trader positioning across this binary outcome.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's directional move by May 30, 8AM ET, which may differ from current spot price levels or technical analyst forecasts. While spot price shows Bitcoin's immediate market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment about volatility, macroeconomic catalysts, and on-chain activity over the coming weeks. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst price targets and historical volatility patterns can reveal whether traders are pricing in optimism or caution relative to conventional expectations.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8AM ET contract is priced as a binary outcome, with shares trading between 0 and 1 based on trader demand for each side. The current market price reflects the collective probability estimate; higher prices indicate stronger conviction that Bitcoin will move up, while lower prices suggest traders expect a down move. Volume and liquidity on this contract determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices.

Bitcoin's directional move by May 30, 8AM ET could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, geopolitical developments, and major cryptocurrency news. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal institutional positioning. Regulatory announcements affecting crypto markets, shifts in traditional asset correlations, and technical breakouts above or below key resistance levels are also critical catalysts. Monitor macroeconomic calendars and Bitcoin network activity to anticipate market-moving events.