TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

BETA
Dashboards
Insights
Indices
Tour
All
Trending
Breaking
New
Ending Soon
Politics
Sports
Crypto
Companies
Elections
Financials
Economics
Other
Entertainment
Science and Technology
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

Volume:
$15,045

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 31, 2026

Closed: May 31, 12:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

View
Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00PM-12:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$15,045
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on May 31, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during the specified four-hour window on May 30, from 8:00PM to 12:00AM ET. The outcome hinges on whether Bitcoin closes higher or lower at the end of that period compared to its opening price at 8:00PM ET. This is a time-bound event, making it ideal for traders focused on short-term crypto volatility and intraday price action rather than longer-term directional bets.

Several catalysts could drive Bitcoin's direction during the May 30 window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or inflation data released that day could shift risk sentiment. Regulatory news affecting crypto markets, major exchange outages, or large on-chain transactions might trigger volatility. Bitcoin's technical levels and support/resistance zones matter for intraday traders. Geopolitical developments, traditional market movements (stocks, bonds, commodities), and social media sentiment can also influence short-term price action. Monitoring these signals in real time helps traders adjust their positions as the May 30 window approaches.