TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Volume:
$15,795

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.2¢
N/A
$15,795
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves at May 30, 2026. The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during the specified four-hour trading window on May 30, from 8:00 AM to 12:00 PM ET. Resolution hinges on whether Bitcoin's price at the close of that window is higher or lower than its opening price at 8:00 AM ET. This narrow, time-bound window isolates intraday volatility and makes the event suitable for short-term traders and those betting on specific market catalysts or news announcements expected during that period.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the May 30 window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or inflation data released that morning could trigger broad risk-asset moves. Regulatory news from the SEC, CFTC, or international authorities may spark volatility. Major corporate or institutional Bitcoin purchases or sales could shift sentiment. Technical levels and options expiry dynamics often drive intraday price action. Geopolitical events, traditional market opens in Asia or Europe, and cryptocurrency-specific developments such as exchange flows or whale transactions may also impact the outcome. Traders should monitor economic calendars and crypto news closely leading up to May 30.