TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET

Volume:
$41,952

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 3:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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Spread
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Volume
24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$41,952
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 2PM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance. Watch the market closely as the May 30, 2PM ET candle opens, as the first minutes of trading often set the tone for directional momentum during that hour.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. The current odds reflect the ratio of capital allocated to each side. As new trades flow in, the price adjusts automatically. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so larger trades may experience slippage. The contract price directly translates to implied probability, making it easy to see what the market believes about Bitcoin's direction by the May 30 deadline.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET market resolves on May 30, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the reference level established at market creation. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly. This binary structure makes the event straightforward: either Bitcoin moves up or it moves down by the specified deadline.

Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction before May 30, 2PM ET. Macroeconomic announcements—such as Federal Reserve policy signals, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—often trigger sharp crypto moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale wallet activity, and mining difficulty changes can signal accumulation or distribution. Regulatory news, corporate adoption announcements, and technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels also drive volatility. Monitoring these signals alongside prediction market odds helps traders anticipate directional shifts before the market reprices.