TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 3:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 2PM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance. Watch the market closely as the May 30, 2PM ET candle opens, as the first minutes of trading often set the tone for directional momentum during that hour.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 2PM ET market resolves on May 30, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the reference level established at market creation. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly. This binary structure makes the event straightforward: either Bitcoin moves up or it moves down by the specified deadline.
Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction before May 30, 2PM ET. Macroeconomic announcements—such as Federal Reserve policy signals, inflation data, or geopolitical developments—often trigger sharp crypto moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale wallet activity, and mining difficulty changes can signal accumulation or distribution. Regulatory news, corporate adoption announcements, and technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels also drive volatility. Monitoring these signals alongside prediction market odds helps traders anticipate directional shifts before the market reprices.