TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.1b
24H VOL:
$113,466,932
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,423,222,590
402,751
Markets across
30,217
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,632
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 30, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 1AM ET on May 30, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance, with the outcome decided by comparing the close price against the open price for that specific hourly candle on May 30, 1AM ET.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current odds reflect the probability implied by the order book and recent trades. As traders place bets, the price adjusts dynamically based on supply and demand. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices update continuously throughout the trading period. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates market tightness and liquidity for this specific event.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 1AM ET market resolves at May 30, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement direction measured at the specified timestamp. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive payouts, while those on the losing side forfeit their position value. The resolution is final once the outcome is confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly. This binary structure makes the event straightforward: either Bitcoin moved up or down by the resolution time.
Bitcoin's direction by May 30, 1AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, or major regulatory developments affecting crypto. Institutional adoption news, significant exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in risk sentiment can drive volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Geopolitical events or changes in inflation expectations also historically impact Bitcoin. Monitoring on-chain metrics, futures positioning, and sentiment indicators can help traders anticipate directional moves leading up to resolution.