TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$107,351,958

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,416,970,024

400,720

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,633

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET

Volume:
$24,819

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 30, 2026

Closed: May 30, 1:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 30, 12AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$24,819
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at May 30, 12AM ET. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 50.0%. Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance. Watch the market closely as the May 30 timestamp approaches, since the one-hour candle's open and close prices will directly determine the outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on May 30, 2026. The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to a reference point established at market creation. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. Resolution occurs automatically once the reference price is finalized and verified. The specific mechanics ensure that the market settles based on objective, verifiable Bitcoin price data at the designated time, eliminating ambiguity and protecting trader interests.

Major catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, macroeconomic data releases, and regulatory developments affecting cryptocurrency markets. Bitcoin's correlation with traditional risk assets means stock market volatility, inflation reports, and interest rate expectations can shift odds significantly. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions, exchange inflows, or mining activity may signal institutional positioning. Geopolitical events, corporate adoption news, and technical chart breakouts can also trigger rapid repricing. Traders monitor these signals continuously to adjust their positions before the May 30, 12AM ET resolution deadline.