TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$103,397,351
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,410,176,180
399,592
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,622
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will be higher at the end of a four-hour window on May 29, 2026, compared to its opening level during that same period. The leading outcome currently stands at 50.0% on Polymarket, indicating an even split between traders expecting upward and downward movement. Resolution will be determined using price data from the Chainlink BTC-USD feed, which captures real-time Bitcoin valuations. Watch the market closely as the May 29 trading window approaches, as intraday volatility and macroeconomic catalysts during those specific hours will likely drive final positioning.
The market resolves on May 29, 2026. The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during the specified four-hour trading window on May 29, from 12:00PM to 4:00PM ET. The exact resolution criteria—whether the market measures opening-to-closing price, highest-to-lowest intraday range, or another benchmark—are defined in the event rules. Once the window closes, the outcome is finalized and shares are settled according to the result.
Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the May 29 window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or inflation data released that day could shift risk sentiment. Regulatory news or major institutional moves in crypto markets may trigger volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones established in the days leading up to May 29 could guide intraday price action. Additionally, broader equity market movements, geopolitical developments, or on-chain activity spikes may create momentum. Traders should monitor crypto news, economic calendars, and Bitcoin's technical setup as the event date approaches.