TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

Volume:
$33,420

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 29, 2026

Closed: May 29, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
Trade
Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
Open Interest
Ends in
Result
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$33,420
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will be higher at the end of a four-hour window on May 29, 2026, compared to its opening level during that same period. The leading outcome currently stands at 50.0% on Polymarket, indicating an even split between traders expecting upward and downward movement. Resolution will be determined using price data from the Chainlink BTC-USD feed, which captures real-time Bitcoin valuations. Watch the market closely as the May 29 trading window approaches, as intraday volatility and macroeconomic catalysts during those specific hours will likely drive final positioning.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bitcoin Up or Down - May 29, 12:00PM-4:00PM ET event. It displays the current probability that Bitcoin's price will move up or down during the specified four-hour window on May 29. The interface shows live price movements, historical odds trends, and 24-hour trading volume to help traders monitor market sentiment and liquidity. This single-venue view provides transparency into how prediction market participants are pricing the outcome as the event date approaches.

The market resolves on May 29, 2026. The outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during the specified four-hour trading window on May 29, from 12:00PM to 4:00PM ET. The exact resolution criteria—whether the market measures opening-to-closing price, highest-to-lowest intraday range, or another benchmark—are defined in the event rules. Once the window closes, the outcome is finalized and shares are settled according to the result.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the May 29 window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or inflation data released that day could shift risk sentiment. Regulatory news or major institutional moves in crypto markets may trigger volatility. Technical levels and support or resistance zones established in the days leading up to May 29 could guide intraday price action. Additionally, broader equity market movements, geopolitical developments, or on-chain activity spikes may create momentum. Traders should monitor crypto news, economic calendars, and Bitcoin's technical setup as the event date approaches.