TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET

Volume:
$44,018

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 9:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

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Chance %
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Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$44,018
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 8AM ET on May 28, 2026. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance, with the specific one-hour candle starting at the designated time serving as the definitive reference point for settlement.

Frequently asked questions

The PredictionHero dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 8AM ET event on Polymarket. You can monitor the current probability that Bitcoin's price will move up or down by the specified deadline, view 24-hour trading volume of $24,506, and observe how market sentiment shifts as new information emerges. The dashboard displays live odds updates, cumulative trading volume, and historical price movements to help traders understand market positioning and liquidity depth for this binary cryptocurrency outcome.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's directional movement by May 28, 2026, which often diverges from spot price alone. While spot prices capture current market value, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and macroeconomic catalysts. Comparing the market's implied probability to technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or analyst forecasts can reveal whether traders are pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios. This event's odds serve as a real-time gauge of collective conviction about Bitcoin's near-term direction.

Bitcoin's price action leading up to May 28, 8AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, regulatory developments, and major institutional flows. Cryptocurrency-specific catalysts include network upgrades, exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in on-chain activity. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and changes in risk sentiment can also drive Bitcoin directionally. Traders monitoring this event should watch economic calendars, regulatory news, and Bitcoin's technical levels to anticipate how these signals might impact the final outcome.