TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$130,522,377
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,438,389,636
404,028
Markets across
30,214
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,681
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 6:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 5PM ET on May 28, 2026. The leading outcome, Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET, currently stands at 100.0% on Polymarket, with resolution determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance. Watch the market closely as May 28, 2026 approaches, since the one-hour candle's open and close prices will directly determine the settlement outcome.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's direction by May 28, 5PM ET, and often diverge from spot price momentum alone. While spot price charts show recent price action, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment, funding rates, and macro catalysts. Comparing the current market odds to analyst price targets and on-chain signals can reveal whether traders expect a reversal, continuation, or consolidation. The $10,634 in recent trading volume suggests active repricing as new information emerges.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET market resolves on May 28, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all positions settle automatically. Monitoring the countdown to May 28, 2026 helps traders plan their exit or hold strategy as the event nears.
Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction before May 28, 5PM ET. Major macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and inflation data often trigger sharp moves in crypto markets. Regulatory news, large exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in institutional sentiment can also sway the odds. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation and funding rates provide real-time clues about trader positioning. Geopolitical events and traditional market volatility may spill over into Bitcoin, making the prediction market odds highly responsive to breaking news in the final days.