TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$130,522,377

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,438,389,636

404,028

Markets across

30,214

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,681

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET
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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET

Volume:
$22,329

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 6:00 PM EST

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Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$22,329
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will close higher than or equal to its opening level during the one-hour candle beginning at 5PM ET on May 28, 2026. The leading outcome, Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET, currently stands at 100.0% on Polymarket, with resolution determined by the BTC/USDT price action on Binance. Watch the market closely as May 28, 2026 approaches, since the one-hour candle's open and close prices will directly determine the settlement outcome.

Frequently asked questions

The Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET dashboard on Polymarket tracks real-time odds and trading activity for this binary crypto event. It displays the current probability that Bitcoin's price will move up or down by the 5PM ET deadline on May 28. The dashboard logs $10,634 in total volume and $10,634 in 24-hour volume, reflecting trader conviction and market liquidity. You can monitor live price movements, historical odds trends, and order-book depth to gauge how the market is pricing Bitcoin's directional move as the event approaches.

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's direction by May 28, 5PM ET, and often diverge from spot price momentum alone. While spot price charts show recent price action, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment, funding rates, and macro catalysts. Comparing the current market odds to analyst price targets and on-chain signals can reveal whether traders expect a reversal, continuation, or consolidation. The $10,634 in recent trading volume suggests active repricing as new information emerges.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 5PM ET market resolves on May 28, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all positions settle automatically. Monitoring the countdown to May 28, 2026 helps traders plan their exit or hold strategy as the event nears.

Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction before May 28, 5PM ET. Major macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and inflation data often trigger sharp moves in crypto markets. Regulatory news, large exchange inflows or outflows, and shifts in institutional sentiment can also sway the odds. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation and funding rates provide real-time clues about trader positioning. Geopolitical events and traditional market volatility may spill over into Bitcoin, making the prediction market odds highly responsive to breaking news in the final days.