TOTAL VOLUME:
$134.2b
24H VOL:
$134,145,987
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,441,166,947
406,422
Markets across
30,383
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,688
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will be higher at 8:00AM ET on May 28 compared to its price at 4:00AM ET that same morning. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by comparing Bitcoin's opening price at 4:00AM ET against its closing price at 8:00AM ET on May 28, 2026, using Chainlink's BTC-USD data feed as the official source. Watch for any major macroeconomic announcements or crypto market movements in the hours leading up to the 4:00AM ET start time on May 28.
The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the 4-hour trading window closes on May 28 at 8:00AM ET. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during that specific period. The outcome depends on whether Bitcoin's price at 8:00AM ET is higher or lower than its price at 4:00AM ET. Once the window closes, the actual price data is recorded and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based solely on verifiable price data from the specified timeframe.
Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the May 28 window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major economic data releases could shift risk sentiment. Regulatory news or statements from government officials regarding cryptocurrency policy may trigger volatility. On-chain metrics, large whale transactions, or shifts in institutional positioning could signal directional bias. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may guide short-term price action. Market-wide events such as exchange outages, security incidents, or major news about competing assets could also impact Bitcoin's movement. Traders should monitor financial calendars, crypto news outlets, and social sentiment in the hours leading up to the May 28 window.