TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Crypto
Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Volume:
$13,301

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved May 28, 2026

Closed: May 28, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
2¢
N/A
$13,301
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Intro

This market tracks whether Bitcoin's price will be higher at 8:00AM ET on May 28 compared to its price at 4:00AM ET that same morning. On Polymarket, the leading outcome currently stands at 100.0%. Resolution will be determined by comparing Bitcoin's opening price at 4:00AM ET against its closing price at 8:00AM ET on May 28, 2026, using Chainlink's BTC-USD data feed as the official source. Watch for any major macroeconomic announcements or crypto market movements in the hours leading up to the 4:00AM ET start time on May 28.

Frequently asked questions

The dashboard tracks real-time odds and trading activity for the Bitcoin Up or Down - May 28, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET event on Polymarket. It displays the current probability that Bitcoin will move up or down during the specified 4-hour window on May 28. You can monitor the live odds, 24-hour trading volume of $11,429, and historical price movements to understand how market participants are pricing this outcome. The dashboard updates continuously as traders buy and sell shares, reflecting shifting sentiment and new information about Bitcoin's expected price direction during that specific time window.

The market resolves on May 28, 2026, after the 4-hour trading window closes on May 28 at 8:00AM ET. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during that specific period. The outcome depends on whether Bitcoin's price at 8:00AM ET is higher or lower than its price at 4:00AM ET. Once the window closes, the actual price data is recorded and the market settles accordingly. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is objective and based solely on verifiable price data from the specified timeframe.

Several catalysts could influence Bitcoin's direction during the May 28 window. Macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, or major economic data releases could shift risk sentiment. Regulatory news or statements from government officials regarding cryptocurrency policy may trigger volatility. On-chain metrics, large whale transactions, or shifts in institutional positioning could signal directional bias. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may guide short-term price action. Market-wide events such as exchange outages, security incidents, or major news about competing assets could also impact Bitcoin's movement. Traders should monitor financial calendars, crypto news outlets, and social sentiment in the hours leading up to the May 28 window.