TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET

Volume:
$42,907

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET - Polymarket

1W

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 10:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 9AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$42,907
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's directional move, which may diverge from current spot price or analyst forecasts. While spot price shows Bitcoin's live market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, risk premiums, and positioning by informed traders. Comparing the implied probability on Polymarket to consensus analyst price targets or technical analysis can reveal whether the market is pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than traditional analysis suggests for the June 9 resolution window.

The market resolves on Jun 9, 2026. At that moment, Bitcoin's price direction—whether it closes up or down relative to the opening price at 9AM ET on June 9, 2026—determines which outcome wins. Traders holding winning shares receive their payout, while losing positions expire worthless. The exact resolution criteria and data source are specified in the market's terms, ensuring a clear, objective settlement based on Bitcoin's actual price movement during the designated window.

Bitcoin's price direction by June 9 could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, geopolitical developments, and major corporate or institutional Bitcoin adoption news. Regulatory statements from the SEC or international bodies may also shift sentiment. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale transactions, and mining activity can signal trader positioning. Macroeconomic shocks, stock market volatility, and competing asset performance often correlate with Bitcoin moves. Technical levels and options expiry dates may also create price pressure near the resolution window.