TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET

Volume:
$25,013

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET - Polymarket

1W

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Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 9, 2026

Closed: Jun 9, 5:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$25,013
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's directional move, which often diverges from spot price alone. While spot price shows current market value, prediction odds incorporate forward-looking sentiment, volatility expectations, and event-specific catalysts through Jun 9, 2026. Comparing market-implied probabilities to analyst forecasts or on-chain metrics can reveal whether traders are pricing in more bullish or bearish momentum than traditional technical analysis suggests. This gap often signals where informed traders see opportunity or risk.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 9, 4AM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing each outcome. The current implied probability reflects the ratio of shares traded; higher demand for one outcome raises its price toward 100 cents and lowers the other. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at competitive prices. Real-time price discovery happens through continuous trading, with the market settling once Bitcoin's price is verified at the specified time on Jun 9, 2026.

Bitcoin's price direction through Jun 9, 2026 can be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve communications, regulatory news, and major institutional flows. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and shifts in risk sentiment often correlate with crypto moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Technical levels and options expiry dates can also create price pressure. Monitoring these catalysts helps traders anticipate volatility and adjust positions before the 4AM ET resolution window.