TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET

Volume:
$58,225

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 8, 2026

Closed: Jun 8, 4:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 3PM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$58,225
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

The market resolves on Jun 8, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price direction at the 3PM ET snapshot on June 8. The outcome hinges on whether Bitcoin closes above or below its opening price at that specific moment, or follows the event's predefined price reference point. Once the snapshot time passes and price data is confirmed, the winning outcome is locked in and payouts are distributed to traders holding the correct side. No further trading occurs after the resolution timestamp.

Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data releases, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts that typically drive risk-on or risk-off flows into Bitcoin. Regulatory news—particularly from the SEC or international authorities—can trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale wallet activity, and mining difficulty adjustments may signal accumulation or distribution pressure. Technical levels and support/resistance zones will guide short-term momentum. Geopolitical events, corporate earnings, and traditional market volatility (equities, bonds, USD strength) often correlate with Bitcoin's directional bias. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate repricing before June 8 at 3PM ET.