TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 8, 2:00 AM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. The current odds reflect the proportion of capital allocated to each side. Share prices range from 0 to 1, with the sum equaling 1 cent. As traders adjust positions based on new information, the price discovery process continuously updates the implied probability, allowing you to enter or exit at any time before market resolution.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 8, 1AM ET market resolves at Jun 8, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement direction relative to its price at the market's opening. Traders holding shares in the winning outcome receive their payout, while losing shares expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all positions settle accordingly on Polymarket.
Bitcoin's direction by June 8, 1AM ET could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, major corporate or institutional adoption news, and regulatory developments. Geopolitical tensions, traditional market volatility, and shifts in macroeconomic sentiment often drive crypto price action. On-chain metrics such as exchange inflows and whale transactions may signal accumulation or distribution. Additionally, technical levels, options expiry dates, and sentiment shifts across social media and analyst commentary can create sharp moves in either direction leading up to resolution.