TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

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$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

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39%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

Volume:
$12,859

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 7, 2026

Closed: Jun 7, 8:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 4:00AM-8:00AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.8¢
N/A
$12,859
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the Bitcoin price at the end of the time range specified in the title is greater than or equal to the price at the beginning of that range. Otherwise, it will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Chainlink, specifically the BTC/USD data stream available at https://data.chain.link/streams/btc-usd. Please note that this market is about the price according to Chainlink data stream BTC/USD, not according to other sources or spot markets.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds reflect collective trader expectations about Bitcoin's directional movement during that specific 4-hour window, which may differ from longer-term spot price forecasts or analyst sentiment. While spot markets price Bitcoin continuously based on supply and demand, this event market isolates a narrow time window and captures concentrated bets on intraday volatility. Comparing the prediction market odds to analyst price targets or historical volatility patterns for that time slot can reveal whether traders expect unusual movement or stability. The market odds represent real money at stake, often providing a more dynamic signal than static analyst predictions.

The market resolves after the 4-hour window closes at 8:00AM ET on Jun 7, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement during that specific period: whether the closing price at 8:00AM ET is higher or lower than the opening price at 4:00AM ET. The outcome is binary—Bitcoin either moved up or down relative to that window's starting level. Once the resolution window closes, the market settles based on the price data, and traders receive payouts according to the outcome they backed.

Several catalysts could drive Bitcoin volatility during this 4-hour window. Major economic data releases, Federal Reserve announcements, or significant regulatory news about cryptocurrency could trigger sharp intraday moves. Geopolitical events or unexpected corporate or institutional crypto announcements may also influence sentiment. Technical levels and support/resistance zones matter for short-duration moves, as algorithmic traders often react to price action near key thresholds. Macro risk-off or risk-on sentiment shifts during Asian or early European trading hours could push Bitcoin directionally. Monitoring news flow, economic calendars, and on-chain activity in the hours before 4:00AM ET will help traders gauge probability shifts.