TOTAL VOLUME:
$134b
24H VOL:
$107,351,958
24H TRANSACTIONS:
2,388,728,490
OPEN INTEREST:
$1,416,970,024
400,720
Markets across
30,097
events
MATCHED EVENTS:
2,633
PLATFORM COVERAGE:
5
Polymarket:
39%
VS.
Kalshi:
61%
Closed: Jun 7, 12:00 PM EST
Polymarket
This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.
Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Bitcoin's directional movement by June 7, 11AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot price trends show recent price action, prediction markets incorporate forward-looking sentiment, news catalysts, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst price targets and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios relative to conventional expectations.
On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy and sell shares representing either an up or down outcome. The price of each outcome reflects the probability assigned by the market; higher prices indicate stronger conviction. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously based on order flow and trading volume, allowing participants to enter or exit positions at real-time market rates throughout the event window.
The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 7, 11AM ET market resolves on Jun 7, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by comparing Bitcoin's price at the specified resolution timestamp against the reference price established at market creation. Traders who correctly predicted the direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. Resolution occurs automatically once the price data is finalized and verified.
Bitcoin's price direction by June 7, 11AM ET could be influenced by Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data releases, and macroeconomic sentiment shifts. Regulatory news regarding cryptocurrency frameworks in major markets often triggers volatility. On-chain metrics such as large whale transactions or exchange inflows may signal accumulation or distribution. Geopolitical developments, traditional market performance, and Bitcoin-specific technical levels near the resolution time could also drive significant price movement in either direction.