TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.1b

24H VOL:

$113,466,932

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,423,222,590

402,751

Markets across

30,217

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,632

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET

Volume:
$41,683

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 7:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Outcome
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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
7d
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$41,683
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective belief about Bitcoin's direction by Jun 6, 2026, which may differ from current spot price momentum or analyst forecasts. While spot price trends show recent price action, prediction markets price in forward-looking expectations, volatility, and event risk over the full time horizon. Comparing Polymarket implied probabilities to technical analysis, on-chain metrics, or macroeconomic forecasts can reveal whether the market is pricing in consensus or contrarian views. Divergences between these signals often highlight where traders see edge or disagreement.

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, the Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 6AM ET market is priced as a binary outcome: traders buy or sell shares representing "up" or "down" at prices between 0 and 1 (or 0–100 cents). The current price of each outcome reflects the collective probability assigned by active traders. As new information emerges—regulatory news, macroeconomic data, or Bitcoin technical levels—traders adjust positions, moving prices. Liquidity and order-book depth on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions at posted prices.

Several catalysts could shift Bitcoin's direction before Jun 6, 2026. Macroeconomic announcements—Federal Reserve policy signals, inflation data, or employment reports—often drive broad risk-asset sentiment. Regulatory developments, such as SEC guidance or government statements on crypto, can trigger sharp moves. Bitcoin-specific events include major exchange flows, whale transactions, or technical breakouts above or below key support and resistance levels. Geopolitical tensions, traditional market volatility, and shifts in institutional adoption narratives also influence trader positioning. Monitoring these signals helps predict how Polymarket odds may evolve.