TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET

Volume:
$23,581

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 5:00 AM EST

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Polymarket

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
0.1¢
N/A
$23,581
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing each outcome. The price of each share reflects the market's probability estimate, ranging from near zero to near one dollar. As traders place orders, the price adjusts in real time based on order flow and liquidity. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so larger trades may experience slippage. The current odds and recent price history are visible on the event page, allowing you to track how conviction has shifted as new information emerges closer to the June 6, 4AM ET resolution time.

The Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 4AM ET market resolves on Jun 6, 2026. At that moment, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement direction according to the event criteria. Traders who backed the correct direction receive their payout, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is final once confirmed, and all shares are settled. Monitoring Bitcoin's price action in the hours and minutes leading up to Jun 6, 2026 is critical, as late-breaking news, regulatory announcements, or macroeconomic data can shift the market sharply in either direction.

Several catalysts could drive Bitcoin's direction by June 6, 4AM ET. Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data, or interest rate decisions often trigger sharp moves in risk assets. Regulatory news—such as SEC guidance on spot Bitcoin ETFs or government crackdowns—can shift sentiment rapidly. Macroeconomic shocks, geopolitical tensions, or major corporate adoption announcements also influence Bitcoin's trajectory. On-chain metrics like exchange inflows, whale accumulation, and network activity provide technical signals. Additionally, Bitcoin's correlation with traditional equities during market stress periods means stock market volatility and credit conditions warrant close attention. Monitoring these factors helps you anticipate directional pressure before the resolution timestamp.