TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$134,145,987

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,441,166,947

406,422

Markets across

30,383

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,688

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET

Volume:
$44,421

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 4:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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Chance %
Price
Spread
Liquidity
Volume
24h
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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET

View
100%
Yes 100¢No 0¢
1¢
N/A
$44,421
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect trader consensus on Bitcoin's direction by June 6, 3AM ET, which may differ from current spot price momentum or technical analysis. While spot markets react to immediate price action, prediction markets price in longer-term expectations and tail risks over the full event window. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts, on-chain signals, or macro sentiment can reveal whether traders are pricing in volatility or conviction differently than traditional market indicators. This divergence often highlights where informed traders see opportunity or disagreement with consensus.

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 3AM ET is priced on Polymarket as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. The current implied probability reflects the balance of buy and sell orders; as traders accumulate positions, the price shifts to reflect new consensus. Polymarket uses an automated market maker model, so prices adjust continuously based on order flow. The spread between bid and ask prices indicates liquidity and trader confidence. Shares settle to $1 if correct or $0 if wrong, making the price directly interpretable as a probability.

Bitcoin's direction by June 6, 3AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic data releases, Federal Reserve communications, regulatory announcements, or major institutional flows. Geopolitical developments, corporate earnings, or crypto-specific news such as exchange hacks or protocol upgrades may also drive volatility. On-chain metrics like whale accumulation, exchange inflows, or staking changes can signal trader positioning. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may attract algorithmic trading. Market-wide risk sentiment, equity market performance, and traditional asset correlations often move Bitcoin alongside broader financial conditions. Monitor these catalysts to anticipate directional shifts.