TOTAL VOLUME:

$134b

24H VOL:

$103,397,351

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,410,176,180

399,592

Markets across

30,097

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,622

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET

Volume:
$35,914

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET - Polymarket

1W

News

Positive

Negative

Neutral

Hover marker for details

Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 6, 2026

Closed: Jun 6, 1:00 AM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 6, 12AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$35,914
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

Prediction market odds on Polymarket reflect traders' collective expectations about Bitcoin's directional movement by Jun 6, 2026, which may differ from current spot price momentum. While spot markets focus on immediate price action, prediction markets incorporate longer-term sentiment, regulatory news, and macroeconomic factors. Comparing Polymarket odds to analyst forecasts and on-chain metrics can reveal whether the market is pricing in bullish or bearish scenarios. Divergences between prediction odds and technical analysis may signal trading opportunities or consensus shifts.

The market resolves at Jun 6, 2026. Resolution is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold at the exact resolution timestamp. Traders should monitor the countdown closely as the deadline approaches, as volatility often increases near resolution. Market participants typically adjust positions in the final hours based on latest price action and breaking news. Early resolution or extension is possible only under extraordinary circumstances; check the event details for any special conditions.

Key catalysts include Federal Reserve policy announcements, inflation data releases, and major regulatory statements on cryptocurrency. Geopolitical developments, corporate Bitcoin adoption news, and technical breakouts above or below key support levels can trigger sharp directional moves. On-chain metrics such as whale accumulation or exchange inflows may signal institutional positioning. Market-wide sentiment shifts driven by traditional finance volatility or macroeconomic surprises often ripple into crypto. Monitoring these signals helps traders anticipate probability shifts on Polymarket before they fully price in.