TOTAL VOLUME:

$134.2b

24H VOL:

$126,324,530

24H TRANSACTIONS:

2,388,728,490

OPEN INTEREST:

$1,434,646,834

406,019

Markets across

30,401

events

MATCHED EVENTS:

2,689

PLATFORM COVERAGE:

5

Polymarket:

39%

VS.

Kalshi:

61%

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Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET
polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET

Volume:
$68,339

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET

 - Polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET - Polymarket

1W

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Negative

Neutral

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Vol.

·

Resolved Jun 5, 2026

Closed: Jun 5, 12:00 PM EST

polymarket

Polymarket

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polymarket

Bitcoin Up or Down - June 5, 11AM ET

View
0%
Yes 0¢No 100¢
—
N/A
$68,339
N/A
N/A
N/A
Settled
Yes
Total markets: 1

Description

This market will resolve to "Up" if the close price is greater than or equal to the open price for the BTC/USDT 1 hour candle that begins on the time and date specified in the title. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "Down". The resolution source for this market is information from Binance, specifically the BTC/USDT pair (https://www.binance.com/en/trade/BTC_USDT). The close « C » and open « O » displayed at the top of the graph for the relevant "1H" candle will be used once the data for that candle is finalized. Please note that this market is about the price according to Binance BTC/USDT, not according to other exchanges or trading pairs.

Frequently asked questions

On Polymarket, prices reflect that venue's order book, liquidity, and how traders price the outcome right now. On Polymarket, this event is priced as a binary contract where traders buy or sell shares representing "Up" or "Down" outcomes. The share price directly reflects the probability: a share trading at 0.65 implies a 65% chance of that outcome. As traders place orders, the automated market maker adjusts prices to balance supply and demand. Volume and liquidity on Polymarket determine how easily you can enter or exit positions. The current odds reflect real-money bets from the prediction market community on Bitcoin's directional move by the June 5 deadline.

The market resolves on Jun 5, 2026. At that time, the outcome is determined by Bitcoin's price movement relative to the specified threshold at 11AM ET on June 5. Traders who backed the correct outcome receive their winnings, while incorrect positions expire worthless. The resolution is based on the price snapshot at the exact moment specified, ensuring a clear and objective settlement. All positions automatically settle once the market closes and the outcome is confirmed.

Bitcoin's direction by June 5, 11AM ET could be influenced by macroeconomic announcements, Federal Reserve policy signals, and major regulatory developments. Crypto-specific catalysts include significant exchange inflows or outflows, large whale transactions, and shifts in institutional sentiment. Technical levels and support or resistance zones may trigger algorithmic trading. Geopolitical events, traditional market volatility, and changes in real-world adoption news can also sway the market. Traders monitor on-chain metrics, funding rates, and options positioning to gauge conviction and potential reversals leading up to the resolution date.